The Lok Sabha election result day is a crucial event that can significantly impact the stock market. Understanding the dynamics and historical trends can provide us a valuable insight for investors. Let’s explore what to expect on this eventful day and understands the lessons from past elections. The elections are going on in 7 phases from April 19 to June 1, 2024. The results of the 2024 Indian Lok Sabha elections will be declared on June 4, 2024.
Market Volatility on Election Result Days
The stock market tends to experience high volatility on Lok Sabha election result days. Past elections have shown wild swings in market indices, reflecting the uncertainty and anticipation surrounding the outcome. This high volatility can impact in extreme price movements, rapid changes in market sentiment, and increased trading activity, all of which contribute to a more turbulent market environment.
Past Sensex Performance on Lok Sabha Election Result Days
| Election Year | Open | Intraday High | Intraday Low | Close | Previous Close |
| 2019 | 39,591.77 | 40,000 | 38651.61 | 38,811 | 39,110 |
| 2014 | 24,271.54 | 25,375 | 23,873 | 24,121 | 23,905 |
| 2009 | 13,479 | 14,284 | 13,479 | 14,284.21 | 12,173 |
| 2004 | 5,409.34 | 5,416.04 | 5,043.99 | 5,069.87 | 5,399 |
2019 Lok Sabha Elections
- Sensex hit record high of 40,000 on NDA’s lead in 2019 election.
- Later erased gains, closed 298 points down at 38,811.
- Factors like global trade tensions, sectoral issues, and banking challenges impacted market performance.
- Unusual negative return on result day, first time in election history.
2014 Lok Sabha Elections
- On May 16, 2014, Sensex hit life high of 25,000 for the first time.
- The market surged on expectations of a clear majority for the BJP-led NDA government.
- However, profit-booking led to a fall in market, closing at 24,121.
2009 Lok Sabha Elections
- On May 18, 2009, stock market hits two upper circuit limits.
- Trading was halted due to the UPA’s decisive win, made a historic event in the Indian market.
- The BSE index rose 17.34% to close at 14,284.
2004 Lok Sabha Elections
- Following the surprise victory of the Congress-led UPA on May 14, 2004, the Sensex fell significantly.
- The market witnessed a 6% drop on the result day and a further 11% decline in the next sessions.
What to do on Lok Sabha Election Result Day
On Lok Sabha election result day in the stock market, it is advisable for investors to exercise caution and prudence due to the high volatility and uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Here are some points to be consider:
- Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on the election results and any related developments that could impact the market.
- Diversify Portfolio: Maintain a well-diversified portfolio to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.
- Long-Term Investment: Consider adopting a long-term investment strategy to ride out short-term market fluctuations.
- Monitor Market Trends: Stay updated on market trends and sentiments to make informed decisions.
- Seek Professional Advice: Consult with a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance tailored to your investment goals and risk tolerance.
- Utilize Market Weakness: Use any market weakness as an opportunity to buy high-quality stocks at discounted prices.
- Remain Cautious: Exercise caution and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements.
By following these guidelines and staying informed, investors can navigate the market volatility surrounding the Lok Sabha election result day more effectively and make informed investment decisions.